Insights / kr
003090
대웅KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.59%
P05–P95 span
18.66%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-12.50%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.95%P25: -3.55%P50: -0.59%P75: 2.07%P95: 11.71%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.