Insights / kr
003090
대웅KR04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.03%
P05–P95 span
26.26%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.47
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.22%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -19.73%P25: -8.11%P50: -2.03%P75: 0.39%P95: 6.54%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.