003030

세아제강지주KR04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.91%
P05–P95 span
16.55%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.53%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.25%P25: -2.35%P50: -0.91%P75: 1.69%P95: 11.30%

Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.