003030

세아제강지주KR04/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-4.24%
P05–P95 span
35.47%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.29
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.79%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.81%P25: -6.36%P50: -4.24%P75: -1.10%P95: 25.67%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.