002790

아모레퍼시픽홀딩스KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.85%
P05–P95 span
7.59%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.85
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+10.59%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
4/6(67%)
Below median
2/6(33%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -1.55%P25: -0.13%P50: 1.85%P75: 4.19%P95: 6.04%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.