002790

아모레퍼시픽홀딩스KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.41%
P05–P95 span
23.47%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+6.74%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
3/9(33%)
Below median
6/9(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.61%P25: -2.49%P50: -0.41%P75: 1.33%P95: 14.86%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.