Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.78%
P05–P95 span
14.88%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-13.95%
Outer 90%
0/4(0%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.87%P25: -4.53%P50: -2.78%P75: -0.53%P95: 5.01%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.