Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.03%
P05–P95 span
25.03%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.13%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.50%P25: -3.62%P50: -2.03%P75: 0.20%P95: 19.53%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.