Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.88%
P05–P95 span
13.31%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.90%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.65%P25: -0.83%P50: 1.88%P75: 4.76%P95: 8.66%
Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.