Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.50%
P05–P95 span
11.94%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.06%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.22%P25: -1.42%P50: 0.50%P75: 2.39%P95: 7.72%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.