Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.51%
P05–P95 span
12.76%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.90%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.95%P25: -2.64%P50: -0.51%P75: 1.24%P95: 5.80%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 21.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.