Insights / kr
001680
대상KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.40%
P05–P95 span
9.62%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-6.41%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
1/8(13%)
Below median
7/8(88%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.60%P25: -2.33%P50: -0.40%P75: 0.80%P95: 4.02%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.