Insights / kr
001450
현대해상KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.88%
P05–P95 span
13.83%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.33%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.05%P25: -4.04%P50: -0.88%P75: 1.30%P95: 5.78%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.