Insights / kr

001440

대한전선KR04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
+0.06%
P05–P95 span
18.42%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+37.88%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.62%P25: -2.78%P50: 0.06%P75: 2.71%P95: 11.80%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 11.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.