001040

CJKR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-1.57%

P05–P95 span

15.76%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.68

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+11.43%

Outer 90%

7/10(70%)

Middle 50%

0/10(0%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.52%P25: -4.14%P50: -1.57%P75: 0.42%P95: 7.24%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.