Insights / kr
000880
한화KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.98%
P05–P95 span
11.16%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-2.41%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
3/5(60%)
Below median
2/5(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.20%P25: -5.04%P50: -2.98%P75: -0.30%P95: 1.96%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.