Insights / kr
000880
한화KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-5.01%
P05–P95 span
12.40%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.47%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.87%P25: -8.37%P50: -5.01%P75: -1.46%P95: 2.53%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.