Insights / kr
000880
한화KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.86%
P05–P95 span
15.77%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-13.78%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.28%P25: -5.05%P50: -0.86%P75: 1.25%P95: 5.48%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.