Insights / kr
000880
한화KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.63%
P05–P95 span
39.51%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.21
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.18%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.66%P25: -8.69%P50: -3.63%P75: 1.89%P95: 18.84%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.