000880

한화KR05/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.19%
P05–P95 span
15.43%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.52%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.06%P25: -2.43%P50: -0.19%P75: 2.30%P95: 7.37%

Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.