Insights / kr
000880
한화KR05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
29.31%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.22%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.40%P25: -1.18%P50: 0.88%P75: 4.99%P95: 21.91%
Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.