Insights / kr
000880
한화KR04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+4.25%
P05–P95 span
10.47%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.54%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -0.66%P25: 1.22%P50: 4.25%P75: 6.24%P95: 9.81%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.