Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.25%
P05–P95 span
19.16%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.02%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.70%P25: -3.89%P50: -1.25%P75: 1.20%P95: 8.46%
Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.