000810

삼성화재KR05/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-2.05%

P05–P95 span

20.14%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.60

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+9.92%

Outer 90%

8/10(80%)

Middle 50%

2/10(20%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.05%P25: -5.39%P50: -2.05%P75: 0.52%P95: 9.09%

Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.