Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.91%
P05–P95 span
31.57%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.37
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.88%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.18%P25: -2.35%P50: 0.91%P75: 3.75%P95: 24.39%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.