Insights / kr
000720
현대건설KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.19%
P05–P95 span
13.83%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+5.78%
Outer 90%
1/3(33%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.02%P25: -3.41%P50: -0.19%P75: 1.20%P95: 4.80%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.