Insights / kr
000720
현대건설KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.71%
P05–P95 span
9.78%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-7.05%
Outer 90%
2/5(40%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.64%P25: -1.90%P50: -0.71%P75: 2.00%P95: 5.13%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.