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000720

현대건설KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
-0.38%
P05–P95 span
12.06%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-14.44%
Outer 90%
4/8(50%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.35%P25: -2.39%P50: -0.38%P75: 1.26%P95: 5.71%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.