Insights / kr
000720
현대건설KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.34%
P05–P95 span
16.51%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.41%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.12%P25: -0.82%P50: 1.34%P75: 3.85%P95: 13.39%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.