000270

기아KR05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
12.89%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.75%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.87%P25: -1.85%P50: -0.25%P75: 1.23%P95: 5.02%

Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.