000270

기아KR05/12/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.75%
P05–P95 span
25.44%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.32%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.99%P25: -4.19%P50: 0.75%P75: 6.24%P95: 14.45%

Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.