Insights / kr
000270
기아KR05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.29%
P05–P95 span
22.24%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.18%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.75%P25: -2.07%P50: 0.29%P75: 2.50%P95: 10.49%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.