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한국앤컴퍼니KR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
-1.75%
P05–P95 span
17.76%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.04%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.67%P25: -7.11%P50: -1.75%P75: 0.38%P95: 7.09%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.