000210

DLKR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
15.95%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+11.35%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.81%P25: -2.65%P50: 0.00%P75: 1.88%P95: 7.14%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.