Insights / kr
000210
DLKR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
9.58%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+0.97%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.45%P25: -2.43%P50: -0.32%P75: 1.51%P95: 5.13%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.