Insights / kr
000210
DLKR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
18.38%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-8.77%
Outer 90%
0/9(0%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.39%P25: -1.88%P50: -0.25%P75: 2.19%P95: 10.99%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.