Insights / kr
000210
DLKR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.54%
P05–P95 span
31.31%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.37
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-12.03%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.23%P25: -1.00%P50: 2.54%P75: 6.53%P95: 28.09%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.