Insights / kr
000210
DLKR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.25%
P05–P95 span
16.37%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.17%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.74%P25: -2.28%P50: 0.25%P75: 2.29%P95: 10.64%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.