Insights / kr
000210
DLKR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.31%
P05–P95 span
14.68%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.50%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.78%P25: -5.44%P50: -2.31%P75: 0.17%P95: 2.90%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.