Insights / kr
000210
DLKR04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.58%
P05–P95 span
32.82%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.34
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.07%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.52%P25: -1.23%P50: 1.58%P75: 6.01%P95: 26.30%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.