000210

DLKR04/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.35%
P05–P95 span
17.34%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.63%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.31%P25: -2.38%P50: -0.35%P75: 2.98%P95: 10.03%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.