Insights / kr
000150
두산KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.91%
P05–P95 span
11.13%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.28%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.22%P25: -4.04%P50: -1.91%P75: -0.08%P95: 3.90%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.