Insights / kr
000150
두산KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.15%
P05–P95 span
15.38%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+18.40%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.01%P25: 0.09%P50: 1.15%P75: 3.45%P95: 13.37%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.