Insights / kr
000150
두산KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.75%
P05–P95 span
12.82%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+27.24%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.03%P25: 0.70%P50: 1.75%P75: 5.00%P95: 10.79%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.