Insights / kr
000150
두산KR04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.39%
P05–P95 span
17.17%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+28.32%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.71%P25: -3.57%P50: 0.39%P75: 8.05%P95: 11.47%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 4.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.