000120

CJ대한통운KR04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.10%
P05–P95 span
49.93%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.00
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.78%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.26%P25: -1.68%P50: 2.10%P75: 9.26%P95: 38.67%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.