000080

하이트진로KR04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.33%
P05–P95 span
15.74%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.58%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.03%P25: -0.50%P50: 2.33%P75: 6.15%P95: 10.71%

Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.